In China, Small Cheap EVs Could Be The Future

According to several experts in China, Tesla Motors may find it more difficult to sell its Model S there then the automaker believes.

Tesla has set high sales expectations in China for the Model S, but will the automaker be able to meet those goals?

Yang Yusheng, a batteries expert at Chinese Academy of Engineering, stated:

“Although heavy smog is an issue in many major Chinese cities, and there is a market waiting for solutions, you can’t count on Tesla to make an electric revolution happen. An electric sedan is not for everyone, not to mention Tesla is a premium brand reserved for high-end customers.”

Yang’s statement came during an electric vehicle forum held in Beijing last month.

As Yang sees it, the Model S will be more a less a niche EV in China. However, there will be an EV revolution in China soon, says Yang, but that will be jump started by a homegrown maker of low-speed, wallet-friendly EVs.

第一电动网新闻图片

As China’s ECNS reports:

“Priced at about 30,000 yuan ($4,960), low-speed electric vehicles (including two-wheelers) have a strong presence in China. Experts forecast that more than 300,000 low-speed electric cars were sold in 2013, more than 10 times the total in 2009.”

“China is now home to more than 200 million electric two-wheelers, creating about 100 billion yuan in value.”

The more convincing facts that support the notion that Tesla Model S sales won’t be through the roof come directly from China’s sales figures for new-energy passenger vehicles:

BYD e6 is Relatively Popular in China

“China’s sales of new- energy vehicles stood at only 17,642 in 2013, which still represented a rise from the 12,791 sold the previous year. The 2013 numbers included 14,604 electric cars and 3,038 plug-in hybrid vehicles.”

2013 sales figure for the top-selling highway-capable passenger BEVs look like this in China:

JAC iEV: ~ 2,500

BYD e6: 1,544

BAIC E-Series EV: 710

Roewe E50: 406

Zotye M300 EV: 220

Venucia e30: 216

BAIC Senova EV: 52

The most successful vehicle for the Chinese market in 2014 is sure to be the 30 mile, PHEV Qin from BYD, that has recently been granted access (along with huge incentives) to both Beijing and Shanghai. That model has already passed 6,000 units sold already this year. (that story here)

So, is there a market for the Model S in China? Sure there is, but will it represent, as Tesla says, 30 to 35% of Tesla sales growth in 2014?

0

想看更多 不感兴趣
重复、旧闻
内容质量差
确定
河南政协委员:解决拥堵可推“新能源汽车+分时租赁”
北京市充电设施公共平台一周年, 接入23家运营商6000余根充电桩
山西“十三五”综合能源发展规划发布,到2020年电动车产能达12万辆
车祸率下降了40%,特斯拉Autopilot无技术缺陷
大众e-Golf有望2018年国产 续航达300km
续航里程提升一倍,宁德时代300Wh/kg电池能量密度项目启动
科恒股份业绩扭亏为盈,锂电业务有望爆发
同步海外Passat GTE 插电版迈腾明年上市
超威携手美国通用电气 加鞭“黑马”钠盐电池
预计2020年智能汽车市场总规模将达7000亿元
特斯拉致死车祸有了调查结果:不是自动驾驶的错
阿李股份拟成立控股子公司宁德博拓动力电池 投资510万元
新景逸S50 2月18日上市 纯电动版今年10月将推出
20%车型恐难再进新能源推广目录 重审利空一季度
特斯拉超级工厂计划再投3.5亿美元 为Model 3生产电机
年产3亿安时动力电池项目拟落户广东清远
青能所成功研发无铅化锂电池 每瓦时成本只有5毛钱
北汽新能源双品牌打法推进 EC180目标8万辆
发改委发布节能标准体系建设方案,将完善新能源汽车技术标准
上海到2020年建成全国领先智能网联汽车产业集群
下一篇

[2014中国年度绿色汽车]专家评委 吴志新

绿色汽车,评选,吴志新



第三方登录
纯净阅读
意见反馈

反馈和建议 在线回复

第一电动网
Hello world!